CAGR
CAGR for the product group around optical interconnects is 25% while applications for Datacom and Telecom will reach 13% with a initial market size of 0.8 B US$ and 2.5B US$ in 2009, respectively.
Moreover, the forecast for many high-performance and low-power consuming nanophotonic network devices is less than 4-5 years (Figure 2). This is shorter than the lifecycle for most telecommunications network equipment. Operators and carriers who currently consider purchasing equipment or upgrading their networks should keep this in mind.
A note with respect to the given timelines: Because the market for manufacturer equipment for telecommunications is fast-paced and highly competitive, new network transmission technologies could emerge in the meantime. One highly discussed candidate is P-OTN (Packet Optical Networks), a blend of packet network data technologies (e.g. Ethernet, MPLS) with optical network transmission technologies (e.g. WDM and ROADM). P-OTN has been seen as one of the hot topics in optical networking in 2008. However, nano-photonics will – without any doubt – also find its way into P-OTN.
Impacts of all optical switching
Besides the (theoretical) technological superiority, all-optical switching will also enable advantages on the business side. The major impacts are:
Increased flexibility and dynamic re-configurability: Packet based switching takes place on the lowest possible layer, adding a high degree of flexibility in application design to core networks. The core network can be changed or reconfigured in a dynamic way following sudden demand and environmental changes.
Increased reliability and reduced complexity: Photonics tends to be more reliable than electronics leading to reduced maintenance costs, thus lowering OPEX. With its ability to act as a multi-degree all-optical wavelength cross connect (multiple inputs, multiple outputs) the PPS reduces the complexity of a network by consolidating management and transmission into the optical layer. It virtually removes the need for higher client layers, hence, lowers CAPEX as well.
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